August 15, 2008 By James Kimer

Illarionov: Thirteen Conclusions about the War

Former Kremlin economist Andrei Illarionov writes about the war in this translation from Yezhednevny Zhurnal, courtesy of the Finnish-Russian Civic Forum. illarionov081408.jpg

The Second Georgian War By Andrei Illarionov 1. The war against Georgia was a brilliant provocation carefully planned and successfully carried out by the Russian leadership. The campaign was practically identical to the plan carried out in another theatre at another time — [Chechen warlord Shamil] Basaev’s attack into Dagestan and the beginning of the second Chechen war in 1999. 2. In the new situation that has taken shape following the war, Georgians may find a legitimate reason to recognise Georgia’s de facto loss of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. 3. The military losses of Georgia are greater than those of Russia. At the same time, however, the financial, foreign policy, and moral losses of Russia are much more significant than those of Georgia.